After more than 30 years in the Grand Strand market, Greg Harrelson has seen Horry County go through every kind of housing cycle — boom years, corrections, interest rate spikes, hurricanes, and the post-2020 frenzy. What's happening in 2026 doesn't look like any of those. It looks like a genuine rebalancing — a return to a market where buyers have leverage, sellers have to earn their price, and smart decisions are rewarded more than fast ones.

Here's Greg's read on what's actually shifting in the Horry County housing market this year, what's driving it, and what it means if you're buying, selling, or holding.

Key Takeaways for the 2026 Horry County Market:

  • Inventory has grown roughly 36% year over year, pushing months of supply above 9 months — firmly a buyer's market.
  • Median sale prices in Myrtle Beach sit near $274,000–$303,000 depending on the data source, with year-over-year changes ranging from modest gains to single-digit declines.
  • Mortgage rates are expected to settle in the 6% range through 2026, with NAR forecasting gradual improvement.
  • Days on market have stretched to roughly 93–111 days — sellers need realistic pricing and strong preparation to compete.
  • The 2026 FHA loan limit in Horry County is $541,287 for a one-unit property, opening up a wider buyer pool.

 Real Estate Expert Greg Harrelson Forecasts 2026 Housing Market

The Big Picture: Horry County Is Now a Buyer's Market

Horry County has shifted from the seller-dominated conditions of 2021–2022 to a buyer-friendly market in 2026. The single clearest indicator is months of supply. When you have under 5 months of inventory, sellers hold the pricing power. Horry County is currently sitting around 9+ months of supply, which historically aligns with real negotiation leverage on the buyer side.

Here's what that actually means for anyone making a decision this year:

  • Well-priced, well-prepared homes still sell. But nothing moves automatically anymore.
  • Overpriced homes sit. Price reductions have become standard — roughly 27–28% of Horry County listings see a price cut before going under contract.
  • Buyers can ask for concessions that simply weren't on the table two years ago: closing cost credits, rate buydowns, appliance packages, flexible closing dates.
  • Multi-offer bidding wars are rare, and when they happen, they're usually on turnkey homes priced below what local comps would support.

In my experience working with sellers during similar transitional phases, the ones who adjust their mindset early do far better than the ones who cling to 2022 pricing. The Horry County market isn't broken — it's just behaving like a normal market again, and normal markets reward correctly priced listings.

What's Actually Happening With Horry County Prices in 2026

Price data varies by source, which is itself a sign of a transitional market. Here's the honest picture across major data providers as of early 2026:

Metric Early 2026 Snapshot What It Tells You
Median Sale Price (Myrtle Beach) $274,000–$303,500 Down YoY by most measures; some data sources show small gains
Single-Family vs. Condo Split Single-family ~$328K–$385K / Condos ~$228K–$240K Condos are softer; single-family demand is steadier
Active Listings (Horry County) ~3,689 homes, up roughly 36% YoY Supply expansion is the #1 story of the year
Months of Supply ~9.4 months Clearly a buyer's market
Average Days on Market 93–111 days Homes sit longer; buyers have time to evaluate
Sale-to-List Ratio ~96% Sellers are giving up 4%+ on average

Single-family homes and condos are behaving like two separate markets. Condo inventory has grown faster, HOA and insurance costs have climbed, and buyers are being pickier. Well-located single-family homes in places like Carolina Forest, The Market Common, and parts of Conway are still performing closer to historical norms.

Mortgage Rates and What They Mean for 2026 Buyers

Mortgage rates have been the single biggest driver of buyer behavior since 2022, and they continue to shape the 2026 market. NAR's 2026 forecast expects rates to average around 6%, trending modestly downward but not dramatically. Here's the practical read:

  • Waiting for 4% rates is probably not a winning strategy. If rates drop meaningfully, buyer competition will spike and prices will firm up fast.
  • Temporary rate buydowns are back on the table. Sellers and builders are offering 2-1 and 3-2-1 buydown credits to help buyers offset the first few years of payments.
  • The FHA loan limit in Horry County is $541,287 for 2026. That's enough to cover a wide range of primary-residence options, especially slightly inland in Carolina Forest, Conway, and Socastee.
  • Refinancing remains a realistic Plan B. Buyers who stretch on the rate today can often refinance if rates move down 75+ basis points.

One thing I consistently see with Horry County buyers right now: the ones who act on a correctly priced home in 2026, even at today's rates, often come out ahead of the buyers who waited. That's because the price negotiation and seller concessions available today frequently outweigh the interest rate savings of waiting for a rate drop that may or may not happen.

What the 2026 Shift Means for Sellers in Horry County

If you're planning to sell in 2026, the market hasn't collapsed — but it doesn't work the way it did two years ago either. The approach has to change. Here's what's working right now:

  • Realistic pricing from day one. The old strategy of "list high and negotiate down" is actively hurting sellers in 2026. Buyers skip overpriced listings entirely rather than submit low offers.
  • Pre-listing prep matters more than ever. Paint, landscaping, minor repairs, professional photography — these things have always helped. In a 9-month-supply market, they're the difference between 30 days on market and 150.
  • Offering concessions proactively. Instead of waiting for a buyer to ask, many successful sellers are advertising closing-cost credits or rate-buydown contributions upfront as part of the listing strategy.
  • Flexibility on timing. Buyers in 2026 often want longer close windows or rent-back options. Sellers who can accommodate win more offers.

For sellers looking to understand what their specific home might sell for in 2026, the value of current comps has never been higher. Last year's comps aren't reliable. Even six-month-old comps can mislead on condo pricing. That's why a current, neighborhood-level analysis is where every serious seller conversation should start. Greg's team handles these evaluations for Myrtle Beach Homes For Sale and the broader Horry County market every day.

What the 2026 Shift Means for Buyers in Horry County

For buyers, 2026 looks like the best opportunity window in several years. Not because prices are about to crash — they aren't — but because the combination of higher inventory, longer days on market, and more motivated sellers has created real leverage.

  • You can take your time. 93–111 day average days on market means most homes will still be available tomorrow. Use that time to make informed decisions.
  • Negotiating from strength works again. Inspection requests, closing credits, rate buydowns, warranty contributions — all of these are reasonable asks on most deals.
  • Condos are particularly buyer-friendly. Condo inventory growth, HOA cost concerns, and insurance questions have softened this segment. Carefully selected condos may be the best value plays in the market.
  • New construction is competing aggressively. Builder incentive packages in Carolina Forest, Conway, and Socastee are often meaningful — rate buydowns, closing credits, and upgrade packages that resale sellers can't always match.

If you're looking for primary-residence options, the Myrtle Beach single-family market is where most first-time and relocating buyers are focused. If you're looking at Myrtle Beach as a second home or rental investment, you should be comparing single-family options alongside the condo market — specifically Myrtle Beach Condos for sale where the current value dynamics are strongest.

Why Greg's Track Record Matters More in a Shifting Market

Markets like 2026 separate agents who can coast on momentum from agents who actually know how to price, negotiate, and close in any condition. Greg's team has been doing this work through every type of Grand Strand market for more than 30 years, which is why the approach is built on proven systems rather than market-cycle dependence.

If you want to see how Greg's team approaches a listing in 2026 — from pricing and marketing through closing — take three minutes to watch How Greg Harrelson Sells Homes. It walks through the exact marketing and communication process his team uses on every listing, and why that process consistently produces results even when the broader market softens.

2026 Horry County Market FAQs

Is the Horry County housing market going to crash in 2026?

No, industry experts are not forecasting a crash. The Horry County market is rebalancing after the 2021–2024 run-up, with healthier inventory, normalized days on market, and more sustainable pricing. Homeowner equity positions remain strong, lending standards have stayed disciplined since 2008, and inbound migration continues to support long-term demand. Corrections are not crashes — this looks like a return to a more normal market.

When is the best time to buy a home in Myrtle Beach in 2026?

The late summer through early winter months (August through December) are historically the best buying windows in Myrtle Beach because inventory is highest and seasonal buyer demand is lowest. That said, the broader 2026 environment favors buyers year-round because of elevated inventory and longer days on market. The most important factor isn't the month — it's being pre-approved, clear on your criteria, and ready to act when the right property appears.

When is the best time to sell a home in Horry County in 2026?

February through July is traditionally the strongest selling window in Horry County, with demand highest and days on market shortest. In 2026, that seasonality is amplified because the slower months are expected to carry even more inventory. If you're planning to sell, aiming to list in late winter or early spring with your home fully prepared gives you the best chance of attracting serious buyers during peak activity.

How are Horry County property taxes calculated?

Horry County uses different assessment ratios depending on how you use the property. Primary residences are assessed at 4% of market value, while second homes and investment properties are assessed at 6%. After the local millage rate is applied, effective tax burdens typically run roughly 0.35% to 0.53% of market value, depending on exact location. Second-home buyers should always factor this higher tax ratio into their monthly budget.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2026?

Mortgage rates are expected to stay in the 6% range throughout 2026, with modest downward movement possible. NAR's 2026 forecast points to a more active market with improving conditions, but not a dramatic rate cliff. Buyers waiting for a major rate drop may end up competing with the flood of other waiting buyers if and when rates move, which typically firms prices and reduces seller flexibility.

Is new construction a better deal than resale in Myrtle Beach in 2026?

It depends on the specific home and the builder, but builder incentives are genuinely competitive right now in Horry County. Rate buydowns, closing cost credits, and included upgrade packages can be worth tens of thousands of dollars on new construction in growing areas like Carolina Forest, Conway, and Socastee. Resale homes in desirable locations still offer value through mature landscaping, established neighborhoods, and direct price negotiation. Smart buyers should evaluate both side by side rather than assuming one is always the better path.

What's the best neighborhood in Myrtle Beach for 2026 buyers?

It depends entirely on the use case. For full-time families, Carolina Forest offers strong schools, good inventory, and a wide price range. For urban-feeling primary residences, The Market Common and the Pine Lakes area are consistent picks. For vacation rental investment, North Myrtle Beach (Cherry Grove, Crescent Beach) and oceanfront Myrtle Beach condos continue to perform. For retirees prioritizing low maintenance, condos and gated golf communities remain top choices. The "best" neighborhood is the one that matches your actual goals, not just the current headline numbers.

Ready to Make a Smart Move in the 2026 Horry County Market?

Whether you're buying your first home, selling a long-held property, looking at investment condos, or relocating to the Grand Strand from out of state, the 2026 Horry County market rewards people who have accurate information and a plan. Greg Harrelson's team has been guiding buyers and sellers through market transitions for more than three decades, and we're ready to help you make a confident decision based on what's actually happening in the market — not headlines.

Reach out today for a no-pressure conversation about your specific situation. We'll walk through your goals, run the numbers that actually matter for your property or your search, and help you decide whether now is the right time to move — or whether waiting makes more sense for your circumstances.

About Greg Harrelson

Greg Harrelson has been one of the top-producing real estate agents in the Myrtle Beach and Grand Strand area for over 30 years. With more than 15,000 homes and condos sold or partnered on throughout his career, Greg brings a level of local market expertise that very few agents can match. His approach combines proven marketing strategies with exceptional follow-up and communication, ensuring that every buyer and seller receives hands-on guidance from the first conversation through closing.

Greg's track record speaks for itself: over 1,100 five-star reviews on Zillow and more than 500 reviews on Google — a reflection of the consistent results and client-first service his team delivers. Whether you're buying an oceanfront condo, a golf course home, or a primary residence anywhere along the Grand Strand, Greg and his team have the experience, the systems, and the reputation to help you get it done right.